Hello Wind!

Good morning,

While we won’t be getting any snow out of this storm, I thought it worthwhile to pass along some other tidbits regarding the storm and its associated cold front, which are slated to blast (and I do mean blast (like BLAST (maybe BLAST!!!))) through the area between ~ 7-10 pm.

First, temperatures… prior to the front coming through, we’ll be in the lower to middle 60s even as late as 7-8 pm (see image below).

NAM sfc temperature forecast (00z run) for 8 pm, Wednesday night (3/12).  Image courtesy of the PSU EWall.

NAM sfc temperature forecast (00z run) for 8 pm, Wednesday night (3/12). Image courtesy of the PSU EWall.

Then, WHAM!  POW! KABOOM!.. three hours later, by 11 pm, models have us in the 20s…
NAM sfc temperature forecast (00z run) for 11 pm, Wednesday night (3/12).  Image courtesy of the PSU EWall.

NAM sfc temperature forecast (00z run) for 11 pm, Wednesday night (3/12). Image courtesy of the PSU EWall.

…and in the lower to middle teens by Thursday morning.  Ooof.

Next, the wind.  Our south wind during the day today will be no slouch… increasing to 15 to 25 mph… but these will pale in comparison to what’s behind the cold front.  Behind the front, winds will literally howl, with model estimates sustained of 25-35 mph with higher gusts, starting shortly after 8 pm and lasting well into the night.

NAM prxoy for sfc winds (~30') for 11 pm, Wednesday night (3/12).  Wind speeds are in knots... for simplicity, you can probably just assume these speeds will equate to mile per hour at the surface.  Image courtesy of the PSU EWall.

NAM proxy for sfc winds (10 meters, or ~30′) for 11 pm, Wednesday night (3/12). Wind speeds are in knots; for simplicity, you can probably just assume these speeds will equate to mile per hour at the surface. Image courtesy of the PSU EWall.

They’ll subside somewhat by tomorrow (relatively speaking), but still gusty.  This has power outages written all over it… especially in areas where the ground has begin to thaw.  Plus, we likely still have branches just hanging by a thread from our February ice storm.

Yup… a fun-filled night.  I’m gonna pass on putting out a trash can… I’ll just put everything in a big heavy-duty bag, cos I know for sure our can would be a goner if I put it out.  Maybe this will blow all the stink bugs that have started crawling out of our attic into the Atlantic.  one can only hope.

Next week, still monitoring the chance for a late winter storm Monday, but there is next to no consensus in the models yet.  I’ll just leave it at that for now.

Take care.

E


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