Models have come in, and they’ve gone from no agreement to uncanny agreement, and the end result is a late-season winter storm. The good news is you’ll have three days to fret about it… and I’ll have three days to keep changing the forecast on you. It’s what we do. I mean, seriously… if we gave you a forecast 3 days out that was a sure thing, well, then we’d become pretty irrelevant. But it is a meteorologists’ job – nay their very duty – to keep changing the forecast, thereby increasing the need to keep listening! Shhhh… it’s a trade secret. 😉
A Few Details: Models are in very good agreement that after a nice Friday and Saturday, a late-season winter storm will impact the area Sunday into Monday, with a potential for a second round Monday night into Tuesday (not gonna worry about that right now). This resembles our dealio from a couple Mondays ago where a dry, cold northwest wind caused rain to change to snow, but the high will be in a better position for snow this time… located more to our northeast over New England, vs to our northwest with the last one. At the same time, a low will develop across the Delta and track to the Mid-Atlantic Coast. How far north this low tracks will – as always – determine how much of what we get. Pcp is slated to arrive during the late afternoon Sunday from the southwest, starting as snow in the north and rain fro D.C. south. Sunday night, pcp will intensify and change to all snow… before tapering off to flurries or drizzle/freezing drizzle Monday.